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Archive for the ‘S&P 500 recap’

Market Reversal For The US.. Good Sign? Bad Sign?

December 06, 2007 By: Ivan Ong Category: S&P 500 recap, Options Trading No Comments →

Yesterday, the Market (US) continued its rally since the market reversed into a new uptrend when I reported it last Thursday.

The driving forces behind the rally are:

1) Oil prices have dived since reaching their peak at $99. Crude oil now stands at $88 and weakening further

2) Optimism that the FED will continue cutting interest rates this month by another 25-50 basis points

3) A freeze on mortgage rates: A formal announcement of the Bush administration’s mortgage plan will come Thursday, but media reports said it involves freezing interest rates on some subprime mortgages for five years in an effort to combat a soaring tide of foreclosures.

4) December is traditionally a rally month (Santa Clause Rally). It’s fair to say that a holiday rally is in full swing. Since the market bottomed on Nov. 26, the Dow has jumped more than 700 points, or 5.5%, and has seen gains in five of the last seven sessions. The S&P 500 is up 5.4% in the last seven sessions, and the Nasdaq is up 4.8%.

5) Good economic news yesterday on JOB CREATION (189,000 jobs were added in Nov compared to estimates of 77,500 jobs) and PRODUCTIVITY (productivity rose 6.3% compared to a 4.9% estimate) shows that recession talk was overdone and it is highly unlikely the US will go into recession.

As you can see, I am overweight on FINANCIAL STOCKS in the WA portfolio as this sector has been way oversold and represent the most upside the next 1-2 years. Another stock that I am waiting to go back in again is Bear Sterns (BSC).

Well, best time to be selling Put Options now.. earn some cash this Christmas! :)

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Market Recap S&P 500 26th Nov

November 27, 2007 By: Ivan Ong Category: S&P 500 recap No Comments →

Many investors woke up today expecting that retailers would take the spotlight in the wake of Black Friday, but it was once again the financial sector that drove the market this Monday. HSBC Holdings (HBC) said it’s started the process of bailing out 2 of its struggling structured investment vehicles to avoid a forced liquidation of the assets, while Citigroup (C) responded to a CNBC report that “massive” layoffs are imminent as the company tries to control its mortgage-related losses. As if that weren’t enough finance-related turmoil for one Monday morning, UBS sent shares of Freddie Mac (FRE) and Fannie Mae (FNM) tumbling after it downgraded both stocks to “neutral” from “buy,” while J.P. Morgan (JPM) issued a late-afternoon report that it would eliminate 100 subprime mortgage jobs in its Ontario, California retail center.

With Citigroup shares now trading south of the 30 level for the first time in 5 years, this morning’s relatively mild selling pressure accelerated rapidly as the afternoon wore on. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA – 12,743.44) closed on a loss of 237.44 points, or 1.8%, as 28 of its 30 components slipped into negative territory. Boeing (BA) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) were the 2 lone Dow components to close the session on a positive note.

The S&P 500 Index (SPX – 1,407.22) was even harder hit, giving up 2.3% by the time the closing bell sounded.

S&P 500 (SPX – 1,407.22) - support at 1,400; resistance at 1,510

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Market Recap 23rd Nov 2007 - S&P 500

November 23, 2007 By: Ivan Ong Category: S&P 500 recap No Comments →

Trading volume was predictably anemic today, as investors ostensibly flocked to their retailer of choice to load up on Black Friday savings. However, that’s not to suggest there wasn’t some bargain-hunting happening on Wall Street today, too, in the wake of Wednesday’s stomach-churning Dow plunge.

The S&P 500 Index (SPX – 1,440.7) also attracted some buyers, and tacked on nearly 24 points as it blazed its own path up the charts. The SPX is perched above support from its 20-month moving average.

S&P 500 (SPX – 1,440.7) - support at 1,400; resistance at 1,510

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